|
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| |в| | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |й| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |в| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |л| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ч| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |н| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ы| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |п| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |с| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |я| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ц| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|(NPV, IRR, срок окупаемости) |0 |1 |2 |3 |4 |5 |6 |7 |8 |9 |10 |11 |12 |
|Объем реализации в натуральном |100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100|
|выражении | | | | | | | | | | | | |% |
|Цена продукции |100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |% |
|Постоянные издержки |100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |% |
|Стоимость сырья и материалов, |100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100|
|расходуемых на ед. прод. | | | | | | | | | | | | |% |
|Значение NPV (чистой приведенной |-30 |-27 |-23 |-20 |-16 |-13 |-9 |-6 |-2 |3 |9 |15 |18 |
|стоимости), руб. |000 |061 |960 |701 |956 |506 |729 |008 |336 |606 |457 |229 |798|
|IRR (внутренняя норма доходности), %| |- |- |- |-24,|-15,|-8,5|-3,7|-0,2|3,7%|6,3%|8,2%|9,1|
|в месяц | | | | |7% |4% |% |% |% | | | |% |
|Срок окупаемости (месяцев) |9 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Внося изменения в графы оценки величины факторов в % от базовой
величины можно отследить, как будет реагировать проект:
Таблица 3.6.
Анализ чувствительности (альтернативный вариант)
|Факторы, влияющие на эффективность |О| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|проекта |ц| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |н| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |к| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |в| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |л| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ч| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |н| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ы| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ф| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |к| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |т| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |р| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |,| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |в| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |%| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |т| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |п| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |л| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |н| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |р| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |у| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |й| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |в| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |л| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ч| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |и| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |н| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ы| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |п| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |о| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |е| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |с| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |я| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |ц| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |а| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |м| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|(NPV, IRR, срок окупаемости) |0 |1 |2 |3 |4 |5 |6 |7 |8 |9 |10 |11 |12 |
|Объем реализации в натуальном выражении|100%|80% |81% |82% |82% |83% |84% |85% |86% |87% |87% |88% |89% |
|Цена продукции |100%|95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |95% |
|Постоянные издержки |100%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|
|Стоимость сырья и материалов, |100%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|110%|
|расходуемых на ед. прод. | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|Значение NPV (чистой приведенной |-30 |-28 |-27 |-26 |-24 |-22 |-20 |-18 |-16 |-13 |-10 |-6 |-4 |
|стоимости), руб. |000 |814 |484 |011 |028 |450 |609 |762 |899 |532 |165 |788 |889 |
|IRR (внутренняя норма доходности), % в | |- |- |- |- |- |- |-17,|-13,|-8,2|-4,6|-2,0|-0,9|
|месяц | | | | | | | |8% |5% |% |% |% |% |
|Срок окупаемости (месяцев) |15 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Посмотрим, как ведут себя показатели эффективности при ухудшении
Страницы: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
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